Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.212942 0.244689 0.280465 0.323945 0.375598 0.435286 0.509899
2025-11-02 0.163404 0.204678 0.256228 0.326125 0.419632 0.542140 0.717686
2025-11-09 0.134168 0.178600 0.238333 0.326127 0.454664 0.640493 0.938102
2025-11-16 0.114016 0.159045 0.223144 0.323591 0.481853 0.730263 1.168094
2025-11-23 0.098711 0.143027 0.209139 0.318430 0.501713 0.810705 1.403957
2025-11-30 0.089929 0.134922 0.205018 0.326858 0.543738 0.935736 1.755556
2025-12-07 0.080125 0.123666 0.193949 0.321311 0.559703 1.017128 2.048480
2025-12-14 0.073373 0.116309 0.187987 0.323180 0.588918 1.129908 2.446169
2025-12-21 0.067355 0.109350 0.181614 0.322967 0.613641 1.239162 2.876266
2025-12-28 0.063405 0.105409 0.179911 0.331101 0.656699 1.398984 3.498279
2026-01-04 0.059513 0.101085 0.176876 0.335969 0.693622 1.554660 4.179191
2026-01-11 0.056075 0.097179 0.174083 0.340779 0.731329 1.722951 4.980059
2026-01-18 0.053422 0.094521 0.173510 0.350586 0.784029 1.949456 6.105927
2026-01-25 0.050276 0.090602 0.169977 0.353372 0.820491 2.144579 7.248304
2026-02-01 0.047203 0.086503 0.165573 0.353446 0.850117 2.330407 8.483221
2026-02-08 0.044199 0.082240 0.160323 0.350672 0.871563 2.499002 9.771556
2026-02-15 0.041263 0.077835 0.154269 0.345001 0.883744 2.642400 11.060379
2026-02-22 0.039760 0.076246 0.154181 0.354267 0.941888 2.967860 13.553316
2026-03-01 0.037269 0.072345 0.148487 0.348168 0.952089 3.123088 15.270289
2026-03-08 0.035555 0.069957 0.145996 0.350223 0.988798 3.397056 17.997548
2026-03-15 0.033831 0.067399 0.142838 0.349989 1.018228 3.655626 20.940557
2026-03-22 0.032794 0.066267 0.142941 0.358933 1.081477 4.090601 25.761557
2026-03-29 0.031614 0.064710 0.141846 0.364287 1.133839 4.504458 31.086788